Senators ban themselves from prediction markets after candidates bet on own races

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Kalshi also gave a five-year suspension and a $6,229.30 fine to Mark Moran, an independent Senate candidate in Virginia who did not agree to the settlement.

“Yes, I bet ~$100 on Kalshi myself because I wanted to get caught,” Moran wrote in an ex-post. Moran said that he rejected a settlement offer that would have forced him to make a public statement, and that he made the move to draw attention to Kalshi and his own campaign.

He wrote, “For $100, I got more attention from CNN, Fox, WSJ, etc. than any media consultant.” “In politics, money has always attracted attention, but I can get attention almost for free.”

US prevented states from regulating

Moran wrote that “Kalashi is currently being sued by multiple states for being an illegal betting market,” and that he filed the suit “to bring to light that our ‘democracy’ is for sale and that Kalashi is a platform that can be manipulated by the highest bidder/donor to move the market in a way that will influence voters as the media will report on it.”

The Trump administration has fought state efforts to impose strict regulations on prediction markets. The US won a court ruling that prevents New Jersey from enforcing laws that restrict betting on college sports and require licenses to offer other types of sports wagering.

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has jurisdiction over prediction markets and recently announced lawsuits against Arizona, Connecticut and Illinois to challenge the states’ rules. “The CFTC will continue to defend its exclusive regulatory authority over these markets and protect market participants against overzealous state regulators,” CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said at the time.

Kalshi said in March that it was launching “new technical guardrails that prevent politicians, athletes and other relevant people from trading certain politics and sports markets.” Polymarket said yesterday it is deploying a blockchain system to monitor trading and enforce its rules.



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