ATP Madrid Best Bets Including Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane

The ATP Masters 1000 Madrid Round of 16 continues with two interesting matches where the weaker players can provide value. Terence Atmane’s strong performance this week suggests he can challenge Alexander Zverev, while Karen Khachanov’s experience and head-to-head advantage make her a solid choice to keep things close against Jakub Mencik.

ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 1/16-Finals

Atmane – Zverev: 28.04.2026 20:00 CEST
H2H: First Date

Terence Atmane has lost three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Barcelona, ​​the Frenchman lost to the Phillies in three tight sets in the opening round. Atmane has never been able to progress beyond the qualifying tournament here. This week in Madrid, Atmane won the opening round match against Kecmanovic in straight sets, without conceding a breakpoint. In the second round, Atmane defeated Humbert in two tiebreaks.

Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Munich, the German had lost to Koboli in straight sets in the semi-finals. He was champion here in 2018 and 2021. This week in Madrid, the German defeated Navon three sets to one in the opening match. He had to struggle on his serve in the second set. Last season, Zverev lost to Cerundolo in the fourth round in straight sets.

best bets to make

According to the bookmakers, Zverev is the clear favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Atmane also played well in Barcelona and Madrid. He defeated strong clay-court players. We believe that if he serves well, the Frenchman will keep this match close.

It is being said, Covering the handicap of the soul game is a valuable bet.

Value Bet/Best Odds: Terence Atmane +4.5 Games Handicap @1.57 @bet365

Khachanov – Menshik: 27.04.2026 20:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0

Karen Khachanov has lost three of his last five matches. Two weeks earlier in Barcelona, ​​Khachanov lost to Ugo Carabelli in straight sets in the opening round. The Russian defeated Walton in straight sets in Madrid this week. He served and saved three breakpoints. He was a quarterfinalist here in 2023. Last season in Madrid, Khachanov lost to Tommy Paul in the third round in three sets.

Jakub Mencic has won three of his last five matches. Before ATP Madrid, he played his last match in Miami. In her opening clay-court match of the season, the Czech defeated Dam in straight sets in the opening match. He served well, saving both breakpoints. Noteworthy is the fact that he scored 24 winners with only 5 unforced errors. Last season in Madrid, Mencic lost to Cerundolo in the quarterfinals in three sets.

best bets to make

According to the bookmakers, Khachanov is a bit of an underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Khachanov won both head-to-head meetings against Mencich and is a better clay-court player. We expect Khachanov to keep this match close.

It is being said, It is a good bet for Khachanov to cover the game handicap.

Value Bet/Best Odds: Karen Khachanov +1.5 Game Handicap @1.91 @bet365

Main photo credit: Susan Mullen-USA TODAY Sports



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