Navy vs. Memphis prediction, odds: 2025 Thanksgiving college football picks

The Navy Midshipmen look to keep their AAC title hopes alive when they take on the Memphis Tigers in the only FBS game on the college football Thanksgiving schedule. Navy is coming off a 41-38 win over South Florida in Week 13, while Memphis dropped a 31-27 decision over East Carolina. The Midshipmen (8-2, 6-1 AAC), who are in first place in the league, are 2-2 on the season. The Tigers (8-3, 4-3 AAC), who are sixth in the conference, are 4-1 at home.

Kickoff from Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee is 7:30 p.m. ET. Memphis leads the all-time series 6–4, although Navy won last year’s meeting 56–44. The latest Navy vs. Memphis odds have the Tigers as 3.5-point favorites, while the over/under for the total score is 58.5. On the money line, Memphis is priced at -171 (risk $171 to win $100), while Navy is priced at +142 (risk $100 to win $142). Before making any Memphis vs. Navy picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is profitable on its top-rated money-line and over/under picks since the start of the 2024 season. Anyone following those college football betting selections at sportsbooks and betting sites can see strong returns.

Now, the model has set his sights on Navy vs. Memphis. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Memphis vs. Navy:

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How to make navy vs memphis pics

Sportsline’s model is Going ahead of the total (58.5). The Midshipmen have gone over that total in eight of their last 10 games, including two in a row. Meanwhile, the Tigers have exceeded the total score in each of their last four meetings, and six of the last 10. The teams have also combined to exceed the total in each of their last two meetings.

The model has Navy quarterback Blake Horvath passing for two touchdowns and running for another, while Memphis quarterback Brandon Lewis throws for more than 240 yards and two scores. Teams combine for 61 points if the overs are cleared in more than 50% of the simulations.

The model also says that one side of the spread is affected more than 60% of the time. You can only get that selection at SportsLine.

So who wins Navy vs. Memphis, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on for Navy vs. Memphis, all from the advanced model that has made over $2,000 on FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.