Potential 2025 MAC Football Championship Game Scenarios
Scenario #1 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo
Scenario #2 – Western Michigan vs. Miami
Scenario #3 – Western Michigan vs. Miami
Scenario #4 – Western Michigan vs. Miami
Scenario #5 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo
Scenario #6 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo**
Scenario #7 – Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan
Scenario #8 – Western Michigan vs. Ohio**
Scenario #9 – Toledo vs. Miami**
Scenario #10 – Toledo vs. Miami**
Scenario #11 – Central Michigan vs. Miami
Scenario #12 – Miami vs. Ohio**
Scenario #13 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo
Scenario #14 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo**
Scenario #15 – Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan
Scenario #16 – Western Michigan vs. Ohio****Identifies scenarios that require team rating scores from SportsSource Analytics. Final team ratings will not be updated or available until the morning of Sunday, November 30, following the conclusion of all Week 14 FBS games.
Scenario #1 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo
WMU def. emu
Buffalo defeated. ohio
Miami def. ball state
Toledo def. CMU Miami/Toledo tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: Toledo def. Miami face to face; toledo clinches berth
Scenario #2 – Western Michigan vs. Miami
WMU def. emu
Ohio defeated. Buffalo
Miami def. ball state
Toledo def. CMU Miami/Ohio/Toledo tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: All three tied teams have not played each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: No team has defeated each of the other two teams
- Tiebreaker Leg #3: Miami 3-0, Toledo 2-1, Ohio 1-2 vs. common rivals (Ball State, NIU, WMU)
Scenario #3 – Western Michigan vs. Miami
WMU def. emu
Buffalo defeated. ohio
Miami def. ball state
CMU def. TOLEDO CMU/MIAMI TIE (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Step #1: CMU and Miami did not play each other
- Tiebreaker Leg #2: Miami 4-1, CMU 3-2 vs. Common Opponents (Akron, Buffalo, EMU, Toledo, WMU)
Scenario #4 – Western Michigan vs. Miami
WMU def. emu
Ohio defeated. Buffalo
Miami def. ball state
CMU def. TOLEDO CMU/MIAMI/OHIO TIE (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: All three tied teams have not played each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: No team has defeated each of the other two teams
- Tiebreaker Stage #3: Miami 3-0, CMU 2-1, Ohio 2-1 vs. Common Opponents (Buffalo, EMU, WMU)
Scenario #5 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo
WMU def. emu
Buffalo defeated. ohio
Ball State def. miami
Toledo def. cmu
- WMU clinches berth (7-1)
- Toledo clinches berth (6-2)
Scenario #6 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo**
WMU def. emu
Ohio defeated. Buffalo
Ball State def. miami
Toledo def. CMU Ohio/Toledo tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Step #1: Ohio and Toledo did not play each other
- Tiebreaker Leg #2: Ohio 3-2, Toledo 3-2 vs. Common Opponents (Ball State, BGSU, Miami, NIU, WMU)
- Tiebreaker Step #3: Team with higher team rating from SportsSource Analytics
- TOLEDO clinches berth (as of 11.24)**
Scenario #7 – Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan
WMU def. emu
Buffalo defeated. ohio
Ball State def. miami
CMU def. toledo
- WMU clinches berth (7-1)
- CMU clinches berth (6-2)
Scenario #8 – Western Michigan vs. Ohio**
WMU def. emu
Ohio defeated. Buffalo
Ball State def. miami
CMU def. TOLEDO CMU/OHIO TIE (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Step #1: CMU and Ohio did not play each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: CMU 4-1, Ohio 4-1 vs. Common Opponents (BGSU, Buffalo, EMU, UMass, WMU)
- Tiebreaker Step #3: Team with higher team rating from SportsSource Analytics
- Ohio clinches berth (as of 11.24)**
Scenario #9 – Toledo vs. Miami**
EMU def. WMU
Buffalo defeated. ohio
Miami def. ball state
Toledo def. cmu
Miami/Toledo/WMU tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: All three tied teams tied at 1-1
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: No team has defeated each of the other two teams
- Tiebreaker Stage #3: Miami 2-0, Toledo 2-0, WMU 2-0 vs. common rivals (Ball State, NIU)
- Tiebreaker Step #4: Team with higher team rating from SportsSource Analytics
- TOLEDO clinches berth (as of 11.24)**
Revert to two-team tiebreaker between Miami/WMU
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: Miami def. WMU face to face; Miami clinches berth
Scenario #10 – Toledo vs. Miami**
EMU def. WMU
Ohio defeated. Buffalo
Miami def. ball state
Toledo def. cmu
Miami/Ohio/Toledo/WMU Tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: All four tied teams did not play each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: No team has defeated each of the other three teams
- Tiebreaker Stage #3: Miami 2-0, Toledo 2-0, WMU 2-0, Ohio 1-1 vs. common rivals (Ball State, NIU)
- Ohio eliminated by tiebreaker
Revert to three-team tiebreaker between Miami/Toledo/WMU
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: All three tied teams tied at 1-1
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: No team has defeated each of the other two teams
- Tiebreaker Stage #3: Miami 2-0, Toledo 2-0, WMU 2-0 vs. common rivals (Ball State, NIU)
- Tiebreaker Step #4: Team with higher team rating from SportsSource Analytics
- TOLEDO clinches berth (as of 11.24)**
Revert to two-team tiebreaker between Miami/WMU
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: Miami def. WMU face to face; Miami clinches berth
Scenario #11 – Central Michigan vs. Miami**
EMU def. WMU
Buffalo defeated. ohio
Miami def. ball state
CMU def. toledo
CMU/Miami/WMU tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: All three tied teams have not played each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: No team has defeated each of the other two teams
- Tiebreaker Leg #3: CMU 2-0, Miami 1-1, WMU 1-1 vs. common rivals (EMU, Toledo)
Revert to two-team tiebreaker between Miami/WMU
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: Miami def. WMU face to face; Miami clinches berth
Scenario #12 – Miami vs. Ohio**
EMU def. WMU
Ohio defeated. Buffalo
Miami def. ball state
CMU def. toledo
CMU/Miami/Ohio/WMU tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: All four tied teams did not play each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: No team has defeated each of the other three teams
- Tiebreaker Leg #3: CMU 1-0, Miami 1-0, Ohio 1-0, WMU 0-1 vs. Common Rivals (EMU)
- WMU eliminated by tiebreaker
Revert to three-team tiebreaker between CMU/Miami/Ohio
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: All three tied teams have not played each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: No team has defeated each of the other two teams
- Tiebreaker Stage #3: Miami 3-0, CMU 2-1, Ohio 2-1 vs. Common Opponents (Buffalo, EMU, WMU)
Return to two-team tiebreaker between CMU/Ohio
- Tiebreaker Step #1: CMU and Ohio did not play each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: CMU 4-1, Ohio 4-1 vs. Common Opponents (BGSU, Buffalo, EMU, UMass, WMU)
- Tiebreaker Step #3: Team with higher team rating from SportsSource Analytics
- Ohio clinches berth (as of 11.24)**
Scenario #13 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo
EMU def. WMU
Buffalo defeated. ohio
Ball State def. miami
Toledo def. cmu
WMU clinches berth (6-2)
Toledo clinches berth (6-2)
Scenario #14 – Western Michigan vs. Toledo**
EMU def. WMU
Ohio defeated. Buffalo
Ball State def. miami
Toledo def. cmu
Ohio/Toledo/WMU tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: WMU def. both ohio and toledo
Revert to two-team tiebreaker between Ohio/Toledo
- Tiebreaker Step #1: Ohio and Toledo did not play each other
- Tiebreaker Leg #2: Ohio 3-2, Toledo 3-2 vs. Common Opponents (Ball State, BGSU, Miami, NIU, WMU)
- Tiebreaker Step #3: Team with higher team rating from SportsSource Analytics
- TOLEDO clinches berth (as of 11.24)**
Scenario #15 – Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan
EMU def. WMU
Buffalo defeated. ohio
Ball State def. miami
CMU def. toledo
WMU clinches berth (6-2)
CMU clinches berth (6-2)
Scenario #16 – Western Michigan vs. Ohio**
EMU def. WMU
Ohio defeated. Buffalo
Ball State def. miami
CMU def. toledo
CMU/Ohio/WMU tie (6-2)
- Tiebreaker Stage #1: WMU def. Both CMU and Ohio
Return to two-team tiebreaker between CMU/Ohio
- Tiebreaker Step #1: CMU and Ohio did not play each other
- Tiebreaker Stage #2: CMU 4-1, Ohio 4-1 vs. Common Opponents (BGSU, Buffalo, EMU, UMass, WMU)
- Tiebreaker Step #3: Team with higher team rating from SportsSource Analytics
- Ohio clinches berth (as of 11.24)**
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